Democrats need four seats to retake the Senate. It's possible, depending on who the presidential nominee is and how impeachment plays out.
Ledyard KingWASHINGTON – The bruising campaign for the White House between President Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger will take center stage in 2020 but it's the contest for control of the Senate that will determine the presidential winner's ability to pass legislation, appoint judges and fund priorities.
Thirteen months out from Election Day, there remains plenty of questions: Will primary voters nominate moderates or party reactionaries that would have a tougher time winning a general election? How will the the Democratic presidential nominee influence down-ballot Senate races? What kind of effect will congressional Democrats' pursuit of Trump's impeachment have on voters?
Democrats are portraying Republicans as climate deniers and anti-immigration zealots who blindly back Trump. They've started airing ads with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, the Kentucky Republican whom opponents accuse of protecting Trump and obstructing important legislation from even getting a floor vote.
Former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper's entry into the race gives Democrats a formidable challenger with high name recognition in a state where Democrats will try to capitalize on issues such as climate change and health care. Collins was leading her likely Democratic opponent, state House Speaker Sara Gideon, by double digits in a Gravis Marketing poll released in June. But there was a potential warning sign for the incumbent: the same poll found 48% approved of Collins' performance – the same percentage that disapproved.Few GOP incumbents have a bigger bullseye than Sen. Martha McSally in Arizona.
Of the two, Tillis is in deeper peril, according to political experts, partly because there are signs the state might not be as red as it was in 2016. A Charlotte-area congressional seat that Trump won by 12 points in 2016 barely went for a Trump-endorsed Republican in a special election earlier this year.Tom Steyer has been pushing impeachment for years.
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