With the Oscars mere days away, take a look at our predictions for who will win and who should win.
Even before the 94th Academy Awards have aired, this has already been a wild year for the ceremony. From deciding not to air all the awards live, to the addition of the Oscars Fan Favorite category, the Oscars are off to a weird start. But regardless of the strange changes, some great and deserving films are likely to win big on Oscar night.
Who Will Win: Looking at the last decade of winner, voters seem to lean towards a film with a powerful message, and a celebrity doesn’t hurt either. The Long Goodbye, starring Riz Ahmed, is even darker than The Dress, but Ahmed’s performance in the final half of The Long Goodbye will absolutely stick with voters.
Who Should and Will Win: Again, Dune seems like an easy call here simply because of how Villeneuve and his team wholly created these new worlds. And while some people might hold out home No Way Home might win its only Oscar, the MCU has never won in this category, as Visual Effects tends to go to films that can easily blend their special effects seamlessly into the narrative—which is exactly what Dune does here.
Who Will Win: Every time an international film has been nominated in both this category and Best Picture, the nominee has understandably won this category. That seems to be the case here with Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s Drive My Car, which will probably be Japan’s first win in this category since 2008’s Departures. But Drive My Car absolutely deserves a win here, as Hamaguchi’s quiet look at loss is also one of the best films of last year.
Who Will Win: Like Smith, Best Actress is probably going to go to someone who should have an Oscar by now, however, in this case, it probably shouldn’t be for this performance. Sure, Jessica Chastain elevates every film she’s in—even The Eyes of Tammy Faye—and she’s been nominated for Supporting Actress for The Help and Best Actress for Zero Dark Thirty. But, unfortunately, the Academy frequently likes to award most acting over best acting, which seems to be the case here.
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