In a new national Monmouth University poll, only four out of 10 Republicans believe that President Donald Trump mentioned former Vice President Joe Biden in his call with the Ukranian president. Allan Lichtman says none of that matters.
Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor at American University discusses his 13 keys to a successful election campaign on April 13, 2012, in his office at American University in Washington, DC.A history professor who correctly predicted the results of the past nine presidential elections says that Democrats should not be concerned that impeaching President Donald Trump could harm their chances during the 2020 election.
Lichtman said none of that matters. Citing his prediction model, which relies on measuring the performance of the party in the White House, it matters less that house Democrats might enrage a lot of American Conservatives in the coming months and more that impeachment, especially a formal impeachment vote, will reflect poorly on the Trump administration.
Absent an impeachment, Democrats should have won easily in 2000 after years of peace and prosperity. Instead, the scandal allowed Republican George W. Bush"to campaign on restoring integrity and honesty to the White House," Lichtman said, adding that about a quarter of voters said the Clinton scandal was very important to their voting decisions.
"It's a complete misreading of history," Lichtman responded."Impeachment is a very bad thing for the party holding the White House" because it turns the professor's"scandal key" against Republicans, possibly triggering other variables in the model to change in Democrats' favor, too.
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