Welcome to 2020 Vision, the Yahoo News column covering the presidential race with one key takeaway every weekday and a wrap-up each weekend.
Reminder: There are 110 days until the Iowa caucuses and 384 days until the 2020 election.
1. Elizabeth Warren ➡️: If Warren wasn’t seen as the frontrunner before Tuesday night, she is now. Why? Because that’s how her rivals treated her. The Massachusetts senator faced near-constant attacks — on taxes from Beto O’Rourke, on taking down Trump’s Twitter from Kamala Harris, on automation from Andrew Yang — and successfully parried most of them by pivoting, with her usual clarity and crispness, to broader themes.
Story continues2. Joe Biden ⬇️: Biden still leads in the national polls by six points. The Ukraine drama hasn’t depressed his numbers. Much to his team’s relief, it wasn’t even a major topic Tuesday night. Nobody attacked Hunter. Asked whether he’d made a mistake by allowing his son to do business in foreign countries while he was vice president, Biden insisted that neither of them had done anything wrong. Then everyone moved on.
3. Pete Buttigieg ⬆️: Of all the candidates onstage in Ohio, Buttigieg probably did himself the most favors with actual voters where it matters most. Progressives will continue to scoff at his criticisms of Warren, and pundits will shake their heads over his opportunism, but the South Bend, Ind. mayor had a message to deliver Tuesday night —I’m a Midwesterner who’s bolder than Biden without being as divisive as Warren — and he delivered it with military discipline.
7. Cory Booker ⬇️: More kumbaya. More soaring, alliterative rhetoric. So far, there’s no sign that Booker’s approach is connecting — he’s been stuck at two percent both nationally and in Iowa for the duration of the campaign — and it’s doubtful that he finally connected on stage in Ohio. The fact is, Democrats don’t want to feel the love. They want to beat Trump. On the plus side, Booker didn’t say or do anything that could damage his VP chances, which is probably the real endgame at this point.
10. Julian Castro ➡️: In September’s debate, the former San Antonio mayor and secretary of Housing and Urban Development stood out in a bad way for bashing Biden’s age and memory. Last night, he made no impression at all. Castro has said that if he doesn’t qualify for November’s debate — a very real possibility — he will end his presidential campaign. Yet Tuesday’s docile performance suggests that his campaign for the vice presidency will continue.
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