Analysis: Final Four sleepers for the NCAA women’s tournament
prediction model, No. 3 seed LSU and No. 4 seed Tennessee each have better than a 14 percent chance of reaching the Final Four. In fact, the Tigers and Vols both check in ahead of No. 1 seed Virginia Tech in their chances to make the trip to Dallas.
Cori Close game-planned masterfully in the first meeting to exploit South Carolina’s only real weakness: its perimeter shooting. The concentration of UCLA’s defensive effort in the paint combined with the Bruins’ prowess on the offensive glass allowed them to keep the game close. They hung with the country’s best offensive rebounding team in that matchup, trailing the Gamecocks by just two in second-chance points. As a relatively young squad, UCLA couldn’t finish off the upset.
The Wildcats dropped games against Baylor, Creighton and Iowa State during a seven-game stretch earlier this season. Since then, sophomore Lucy Olsen has emerged as a consistent second scoring option and Christina Dalce has increased her production on the defensive end. Villanova is playing its best basketball as a result and hasn’t lost to a team other than Connecticut since Dec. 18. The Wildcats’ three games against the Huskies were decided by an average of just over eight points.
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