Analysis: How overoptimistic is Rick Scott about GOP chances in the Senate?
“We’re going to get 52 Republican senators. We have to win here,” he said Thursday at an event in North Carolina, where the party is working to hold the seat of Sen. Richard Burr. In fact, he said, “I think we can get 53, 54, 55.”
in the other direction. But 55? Could Senate Republicans end up with a 10-vote margin over Democrats?Well, yes. But it would mean a lot of things going very, very badly for the opposition. All 35 of them are between a 40-point Democratic advantage and a 40-point Republican one — except Alaska, which broke the scale and is just floating there off by itself, a position the state will find quite familiar.Notice that there are only two seats that flip between parties: Nevada, going from Democrat to Republican, and Pennsylvania, going the other direction. In other words, this suggests a 50-50 Senate in January 2023 and therefore a Democratic majority .