Analysis: Trump goes into election season facing a steeper climb than the past three incumbent presidents
President Trump waves to the crowd on March 2. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow March 5 at 9:20 AM People are frustratingly fickle. While democracy would probably suffer if the only people allowed to vote were robots who were incapable of changing their opinions, it would certainly make political prognostication simpler.
But here we get to the robot issue: People change their minds and circumstances change. Clinton ended up winning, of course, earning 11 percentage points more in the actual vote than the 1995 poll indicated. For Bush, who had a broad lead on this metric, things narrowed dramatically. First, let’s look at another number that’s not good news for Trump: Independents are 18 percentage points more likely to say they’ll vote against Trump than vote for him. Democrats plan to oppose him and Republicans to vote for him . But those independent numbers seem ... problematic.
Deutschland Neuesten Nachrichten, Deutschland Schlagzeilen
Similar News:Sie können auch ähnliche Nachrichten wie diese lesen, die wir aus anderen Nachrichtenquellen gesammelt haben.
Analysis | The Trump administration backs off its hard line on a North Korea dealSecretary of State Mike Pompeo this weekend denied that the Trump administration's demands had softened. A look back shows that they have.
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | ‘I disagree’: How Trump keeps undermining his own administrationFor two years, it has been a game of they said, he says. Now in year three, President Trump is still openly contradicting his top officials.
Weiterlesen »
Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz just straight-up threatened Michael CohenLess than 24 hours before former Trump fixer Michael Cohen is scheduled to appear in an open hearing to discuss his relationship with the President of the United States and shed light on his involvement in a hush money scheme involving two women alleging they had affairs with the billionaire businessman, Florida Republican Rep. Matt Gaetz directly threatened Cohen via Twitter.
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | Trump and Republicans are trying to paint Democrats as radical on abortionAnalysis: Trump and Republicans are trying to paint Democrats as radical on abortion
Weiterlesen »
Cohen is bent on revenge as Trump pulls an all-nighter in HanoiPresident Donald Trump's ex-lawyer Michael Cohen will unleash a stunning indictment of his former client Wednesday that will amount to one of the strongest rebukes of a sitting President in living memory.
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | Did Ivanka Trump create ‘millions’ of jobs?President Trump bragged that his daughter has created millions of jobs. That's not correct.
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | Power Up: 'The answer is yes:' Cohen plans to say Trump knew of WikiLeaks email dumpAnalysis: Cohen plans to say Trump knew of WikiLeaks email dump
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | Michael Cohen’s explosive opening statement about Trump, annotatedAnalysis: Michael Cohen’s explosive opening statement about Trump, annotated
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | How Trump’s net worth suddenly jumped — and why Cohen’s testimony about it raises problemsAnalysis: Michael Cohen accuses Trump of giving inflated financial documents to a bank
Weiterlesen »
Analysis | The GOP’s attacks on Michael Cohen sound a lot like attacks on TrumpMany of the things Republicans attacked Cohen on could carry collateral damage for the man they are defending.
Weiterlesen »