Belarus’s President Lukashenko is signalling for help from his last standing ally, Russia, however President Putin shows no sign of propping up the embattled ruler.
There are also plenty of other forms of"assistance” that could be dressed up by Moscow as something acceptable, Giles said, including reinforcing Belarusian security forces with Russia's own heavily militarized national guard.
Rendering any military assistance for Lukashenko would also be an extremely unpopular move domestically for Putin, said Ferris, with RUSI. Ferris added that unlike in Ukraine, where during the political turmoil in 2014 Russia backed anti-government separatists in the eastern Ukraine resulting in a, there are fewer divides along ethnic or linguistic lines in Belarus, making it hard to draw parallels.
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