As the West falters, Zelensky needs to get Saudi Arabia and China onside to win the war

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As the West falters, Zelensky needs to get Saudi Arabia and China onside to win the war
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Wars create opportunities by disrupting hierarchies of power, and Saudi Arabia has positioned itself as a talking partner and convenor favoured by China, while also keeping open channels to Russia 🖋️ annemcelvoy for ipaperviews

The explanation tells us much about how the effect of the Ukraine conflict has extended across geopolitics and alliances. There is a tussle to expand support from Western democracies to middle-income and developing countries, who have tolerated Russia’s aggression or deem it excusable in the light of military interventions by the West.

Testing the Black Sea fleet’s weak points at sea and drone attacks inside Russia are aimed at bringing home to Russia’s public that the war is not being won and that the chaos affects their territory too. Kremlin communications have retreated to condemning the attacks as terror tactics, supported by the West. That fails, however, to explain why a state obsessed with security has failed to head them off.

Wars also create opportunities by disrupting hierarchies of power, and Saudi Arabia has positioned itself as a talking partner and convenor favoured by China, while also keeping open channels to Russia, leveraging oil-price diplomacy to sustain ties with a regime that needs economic friends to offset the damage of sanctions.

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