TNF odds, picks, and predictions for Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders. NFL betting best bet and game analysis.
The Chicago Bears have been as putrid as their 0-4 record indicates, but one small bright spot has been the play of wide receiver DJ Moore. See how we'll be tailing Justin Fields' favorite toy in our NFL picks!As of Wednesday morning, FanDuel has the best number on DJ Moore’s Over receiving yards at 48.5 with some books as high as 50.5. It’s a bit of a discount and a number I’m happy to take the Over with prime time.
Even without garbage-time yards, I like this Over. There aren’t many mouths to feed in this offense and Moore can hit this Over in three catches. If Moore is facing a lot of soft coverage late in the game with Chicago trailing, Milestone Overs are in play at 75+ at +270. Washington took the Eagles to overtime last week but it still wasn’t pretty. Howell took another five sacks to make it 14 over the last two games, Brian Robinson plodded his way to 45 yards on 14 carries, the Eagles took 11 penalties with five of those creating first downs for Washington, and the Eagles put up 34 points and scored just once in two trips to the red zone.
Everyone knows the Bears are bad. They could be missing two starters in the secondary again, but the backdoor is wide open on the short week. I’m not betting on the Bears, but I’m very much against backing the Commanders at -5.5 — especially with the health of Curtis Samuel and Jahan Dotson in the air after a DNP on Monday’s walkthrough.This could have been some"fake" money coming in at -6.5, driving the number up to -7 where there was heavy buyback at +7 to move it back down to 6.
Speaking of inflated, Justin Fields’ numbers Sunday need to be taken with a grain of salt. It came against the Broncos and I’d suggest everyone play their opposing quarterback’s alternate passing yard Overs going forward. Fields threw for a career-high 335 yards and started the game 16-for-16.
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