Our best NFL milestone bets for Week 5, playing alternative totals for Dalton Kincaid, DeAndre Hopkins, and Rashee Rice.
Milestone markets are a perfect way to maximize the value of the weekly NFL player props and capitalize on monster efforts from particular players. Rashee Rice leads our Week 5 trio of Alt Overs.total, but for those who might be mispriced, have a better matchup than expected, or can just pile up stats in garbage time, betting milestones and Alt Overs can be profitable even with a low win percentage.
Next is the rookie’s high catch rate. Kincaid has caught 15 of his 17 targets on the season because he runs short routes. His average depth of target is just three yards, and with him running half of his routes in the slot, he has some big matchup advantages vs. thisJacksonville is without starting linebacker Devin Lloyd, who is one of their better coverage linebackers, while Kincaid has six inches and 50 pounds over slot corner Tre Herndon.
It’s also great timing for the veteran receiver as the Colts lost their best coverage corner last week and have been weak against the pass all season. The reshuffling of the secondary will only benefit Hopkins, as the Colts are allowing over 16 catches for nearly 200 yards per game to opposing WRs, which are both Bottom-10 marks.
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