Analysts and diplomats warn that fears of a dysfunctional America will now be revived in Asia and the Pacific, where the U.S. has recently started to build momentum in efforts to counter Chinese influence. Biden abruptly cuts short an Asia-Pacific visit:
President Joe Biden boards Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, on Wednesday, May 17, 2023.
“It will reinforce lingering doubts about U.S. staying power,” said Hal Brands, a professor of global affairs at Johns Hopkins University. “And you can bet China will make hay of this — its message to countries in the region will be, ‘You can’t count on a country that can’t even perform basic functions of governance.’”
Doubts about American resolve — and Obama’s promise of a pivot to Asia — have been in the air ever since, even as the Biden administration has offered tangible evidence of a shift in priorities. Along with more high-profile visits to the region, the United States has reopened an embassy in the Solomon Islands, added an embassy in Tonga and tilted its foreign policy heavily toward countering China, both militarily and in contested technologies like microchips.
“There’s still a sense that this is early days,” said Anna Powles, a senior lecturer in security studies at Massey University in New Zealand. “Trust is the currency of the Pacific, and building trust takes consistency, it takes being reliable, being there, being present.” “There’s no way to deny that this is a big missed opportunity,” said Derek Grossman, a senior defense analyst at the RAND Corp.
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