After breaking hard for the president in 2016, Iowa appears to be having second thoughts
Iowa, once a model swing state, fell so hard for Donald Trump four years ago that 2020 seemed like a forgone conclusion.
This year, once Democrats finished with the chaotic presidential caucuses in February, many left Iowa without any expectation of coming back in the fall. Much of the Democrats’ registration gains in Iowa can be attributed to the excitement surrounding the party’s caucuses — and the year-plus of campaigning and organizing in Iowa leading up to them.They’ll need all those new voters. The
But in Iowa, Gross said, “When we have farm problems … the farmers may not blame the president, but the public does.”The significance of a competitive landscape in Iowa extends beyond the state’s six electoral votes. More counties in Iowa than in any other state flipped from supporting Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016, rendering a petri dish state of “Obama-Trump” voters who were motivated more than anything four years ago by exhaustion with Washington and a desire for change.
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