A solid majority of Americans think we are in a recession, but that consensus conceals some deep divides on the economy.
and YouGov found that 58 percent of Americans say we are in a recession today. Men are slightly more likely than women to say we’re in a recession, at 59 percent to 57 percent. A 51 percent majority of blacks say we’re in a recession, with 27 percent saying we’re not and 22 percent saying they are not sure. Among Hispanics, 53 percent say we’re in a recession, 22 percent say we are not, and 25 percent say they are not sure.
Where we split is over politics. Just 38 percent of Biden voters say we are in a recession, versus 82 percent of Trump voters. Forty-four percent of registered Democrats say we’re in a recession, versus 76 percent of Republicans. In short, America’s political tribes do not just disagree about policy but even about reality.
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