Brent crude futures slip amid easing Middle East concerns and U.S. job growth

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Brent crude futures slip amid easing Middle East concerns and U.S. job growth
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Brent crude futures slip amid easing Middle East concerns and U.S. job growth

Oil prices made a downward turn on Friday, spurred by easing Middle East supply concerns amidst the Israel-Hamas war and speculation of the US Federal Reserve halting interest rate hikes. Brent crude futures were recorded at $84.89 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate crude stood at $80.51 a barrel, marking a weekly drop exceeding 6%. Despite warnings of potential wider conflict at Lebanon’s border with Israel by Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, markets remained steady.

Turning to South Africa, World Bank forecasts indicate that barring geopolitical escalations, fuel prices should remain stable during the festive season. This prediction is tied to an average global oil price of $90 per barrel in Q4, influenced by a drop in Brent crude prices from $91.86 to $88.72 per barrel due to a slowdown in global economic growth and increased production from non-OPEC+ producers.

The Absa Purchasing Managers' Index, at 45.4 index points in October, indicates depressed demand for local goods due to high food and fuel prices, with the AA predicting the fuel price decrease to persist through the festive season. This comes amid a July 2023 price break and an 8.1% food inflation rate according to Stats SA figures, along with a R5.

Despite high living costs persisting for South Africans due to rising electricity and food prices, consistent interest rate hikes, and continuous petrol price increases, the anticipated stability in fuel prices should provide temporary relief for consumers. Experts recommend prudent travel arrangements during the festive season considering the upcoming financial pressures at the start of the new year.

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