MLB odds, predictions, and picks for Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs on August 28. MLB free pick for Brewers-Cubs.
While Miley should be a good fade candidate, right-handeris also likely to struggle for the Cubs. Through 23 starts this season, Taillon is 7-8 with a 5.60 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, ranking in the 15th percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, and Barrel%. With that said, a high-scoring shootout should benefit the Cubs, a team that paces the Brewers in every single hitting category across the board. There have now been nine or more total runs scored in each of the Brewers’ past six games, and in six of Chicago’s past seven.: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting siteThe Cubs opened as a -120 favorite and have since been bet up to their current price of -124. This small line movement should not be shocking given that Chicago boasts the stronger lineup in what is likely to be a high-scoring affair.
That brings us to the total, which opened at nine and has since stayed put. This number should stay here considering Miley’s strong surface-level stats. However, I believe the Over is offering value based on Miley's poor underlying metrics. Both teams are in great form, so a high-scoring, competitive matchup is likely in store on Monday evening.Looking to bet on some baseball action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:B) Get a profit boost
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