NFL predictions, picks, and odds for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints. NFL Week 4 betting best bet and game analysis.
The Saints defense has been the backbone of this team through the opening three games. New Orleans ranks 10th in EPA per play and No. 4 in Defensive DVOA, while stepping up in key spots like third downs and inside the red zone .
Tampa Bay’s offense came off the tracks on Monday, finally facing a quality stop unit after beating up on the Bears and getting the benefit of five turnovers from Minnesota in Week 1. The Bucs had only 12 first downs and averaged a mere four yards per play versus Philadelphia, holding possession for just over 21 minutes.
The Over/Under total opened as low as 39.5 points and was a popular Over bet among sharps early in the week, driving this number as high as 40.5 as of Thursday morning. Both offenses do sit in the back half of the offensive pace ratings, with Tampa Bay running the eighth slowest tempo in terms of seconds per play while New Orleans ranks 13th slowest in tempo and rarely runs any no-huddle sets.
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