Bloomberg asks if Bernie Sanders is finished, forgetting the industry-wide prediction errors of 2016
Washington Poststories in the span of a few winter days earlier this year about Sanders being a “one-hit wonder” whose moment had “come… and gone” and who was “no big deal the second time around.”
These stories are not based on anything. They’re space-filling guesses usually grounded in some grumbling personal complaint the outlet or pundit in question has about whatever politician they’re trashing. It’s an annoying and condescending kind of campaign reportage. What makes it particularly ridiculous is that a lot of the people doing it were part of an epic face plant on the horse race front four years ago.
The across-the-board failed prognostications of last election season were a thing to behold. They constituted one of the larger industry-wide failures in a journalism business that has seen a few of them since the Iraq fiasco. Literally every major news outlet called the 2016 election wrong.’s chances at the nomination at a time when he was either leading the Republican field or in clear contention.BloombergBernstein should know.
FiveThirtyEight wrote multiple articles in 2015 insisting it was a near-mathematical impossibility for Trump to be the nominee. They claimed Trump would play “Countless pundits made the same mistake. Dana Milbank in the“I’m so certain Trump won’t win the nomination that I’ll eat my words if he does.
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