Can Auburn’s offense maintain successes of Samford win heading into SEC play?

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Can Auburn’s offense maintain successes of Samford win heading into SEC play?
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It seems Payton Thorne and the Auburn offense have found their footing for at least a week, but the competition is about to get much stiffer.

After a 45-13 drubbing of FCS Samford over the weekend, the Tigers will head into Southeastern Conference play on the road at Texas A&M, kicking off at 11 a.m. Saturday.

Auburn’s victory over Samford was a statistical success for its offense. The Tigers set a season-high for total yardage , matched another season-best in yards per play , and recorded their first 500-yard game since a dismantling of another FCS program, Alabama State, in September 2021. But does success against a lesser foe automatically translate to something similar on a bigger stage the next time out? History doesn’t indicate it.

Since 2007, Auburn is 5-10 following a win against the FCS. It’s 4-10 against the Power Five and 4-9 against the SEC, with three wins against the conference in the past decade under those circumstances. Fourteen of those 15 games saw Auburn’s total yardage production drop from the previous game, with the only outlier being a 55-44 loss to Alabama in the 2014 Iron Bowl. The winning percentages drop even further when looking at road games.

Before Missouri, the only road win to follow an FCS game was actually in College Station. A Top-25 matchup saw Auburn beat the Aggies 45-41. Down a touchdown heading into the final quarter, the Tigers out-scored A&M 21-10 in the final frame to pull ahead.

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