Canada is planning for a 'reasonable worst case scenario' in which new waves of the coronavirus would intermittently swamp the public health system and send the death toll soaring, officials said on Friday.
OTTAWA - Canada is planning for a “reasonable worst case scenario” in which new waves of the coronavirus would intermittently swamp the public health system and send the death toll soaring, officials said on Friday.
Under the scenario, there would be a large peak later this year followed by a number of smaller peaks and valleys stretching to January 2022. Each peak would exceed the health system’s capacity. “We are planning for a reasonable worst case scenario comprised of a large ‘Fall Peak’ followed by ongoing ‘Peak and Valleys’ in which resource demands intermittently exceed the ... health system’s capacity to manage,” federal health officials said in a modeling forecast.
Potentially complicating factors include an outbreak of influenza at the same time as a resurgence of coronavirus, officials said. The cumulative death toll in Canada could be as high as 9,115 by Aug 23, up from the 9,015 at present, the forecast predicted.
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