Former President Donald Trump is Republicans' top choice for a presidential nominee, not only because they like what he did as president, but also because they think he can win.
, they still see him as their best shot to defeat President Joe Biden. And views of electability depend on what voters prefer in a nominee: appealing to Americans in the middle or turning out the base.
So, the top two candidates in the horse race are also the top two on electability, and the rest of the field is far behind them. The other eight candidates tested, many of whom are still unfamiliar to the primary electorate, elicit at most 20% who say they would definitely win, with several being described by majorities as a"long shot" instead.
For example, DeSantis' 50% electability score nearly matches the 52% considering him today. The one exception is Trump, whose electability number is very close to the number saying they would vote for him — both six in ten — and is therefore lower than his consideration number. . Candidates under consideration by more voters tended to have better electability numbers then too, but Democrats were much less confident in their chances of beating Trump in 2020. For example, 75% of Biden considerers said he would"probably" win. Today, 77% of Trump's considerers say he would"definitely" win — a higher bar. , and the race is closer among voters considering multiple candidates, which is most of them at this early stage.
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