Moving forward, researchers predict that COVID-19 could become an endemic, possibly seasonal, virus that mainly infects children.
and modeling across many countries and age groups allowed researchers to predict what COVID-19 could look like 1, 10, and 20 years from now.,' a term [that] epidemiologists use when the virus has not been seen before," senior author Ottar Bjornstad, PhD, tellswas first introduced or when smallpox first came to the Americas, he says.
"The death toll during the pandemic has been horrific, like some of the previous pandemics," Bjornstad says. Although it's still possible SARS-CoV-2 could continue to place the elderly at highest risk,"my colleagues and I think this is very unlikely.""The flu virus that caused a pandemic a century ago now circulates as a seasonal virus.
"It makes sense that children will become the most susceptible group to SARS-CoV-2 as adults are able to develop "This is indeed a great statistical model aimed at predicting the evolution of COVID-19 disease in different populations. The ability to account for varying"However," she notes,"we are dealing with too many unknowns in relation to COVID-19 which makes the applicability challenging at the current time. As we learn more about duration of immunity and severity of subsequent infections this can be a much more effective tool.
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