The real risk factor is different
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The Johns Hopkins–Utah study comes peppered with caveats, primarily that it’s a snapshot of a rapidly evolving situation. It deals only with the U.S., excluding high-density, relatively unscathed megalopolises like Tokyo and Seoul. New York, the country’s densest city, was hit early and hard, throwing off comparisons and making it difficult to sift through other variables.
The new study doesn’t deny that dense cities give an opportunistic virus plenty of chances to thrive. Metropolitan areas abound in religious services, choir rehearsals, birthday parties, conferences, basketball games, and barbecues. But they also provide the tools to combat the spread of disease: quick access to health care, food delivery, and an abundance of public space where people can see others from a safe distance and still feel like they belong in the world.
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