Alex Cobb's surface numbers aren't that impressive, but his peripherals tell a different story, and create value for tonight's matchup with the Cubs.
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.I believe that the Giants are rightful favorites at home. The Cubs have been hot lately, but they picked up the loss in Game 1 of this series as the Giants got their first win since July 17th. Overall, the Cubs have been the NL’s worst ballclubs in 2022.
It’s really quite perplexing how unlucky Cobb has been this season. He leads the majors in barrel rate, yet he’s somehow allowing an absurdly high.332 BABIP. Hitters are making soft contact against him, but also hitting for a high average? This profile screams positive regression in my opinion, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Cobb have a strong second half of the season.
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