IT was in a recent speech in Washington that Antony Blinken, US secretary of state, said that a “hinge moment in history” has been reached.
“What we are experiencing is more than a test of the post-Cold War order. It’s the end of it,” Blinken told students at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.
On the face of it, the Biden administration certainly appears to be backing up those words with deeds. No sooner had Zelenskyy emerged in New York at the UN General Assembly where he had a showdown with the invader of his country than he was then in Washington lobbying for further support. But as unwavering as such pledges from Ukraine’s allies sound, they depend on two uncertain variables. One is the West’s ability to furnish Ukraine’s army with enough weapons and ammunition. The other is the political will to keep handing them over.
Last week, Polish prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki announced a halt to weapons exports to Ukraine amid a pre-election row over grain exports. Morawiecki and his governing party appear to be engaged in a push to reassure voters that it will not put Ukraine’s interests ahead of Polish citizens, and especially farmers, who are angry over low prices for their produce that they blame on an influx of cheap Ukrainian grain.
Leading in the polls is Smer, the party of former prime minister Robert Fico, who resigned in 2018 following anti-corruption protests. Smer has been tipped to win 20% of the vote but would require several coalition partners to govern. Speaking to the Financial Times recently, Hajdu described the ballot as “an election that can strongly influence the unity of the EU and Nato in terms of support for Ukraine”.
“For 18 months, Poland has badgered any member state that would utter the slightest hesitation towards Ukraine,” the diplomat said. “Now they’re showing their true colours,” the official insisted. In other words, this means it can no longer expect a free ride on a separate piece of must-pass legislation. Early in the war the American public showed immense support for Ukraine – and politicians acknowledged that. The Ukraine Democracy Defence Lend-Lease Act of 2022, designed to speed up the transfer of weapons to Ukrainian forces, passed the House in April last year with support from 196 Republicans . Only 10 opposed the measure.
While America, along with Britain, France, Germany and other allies, insist they will stay the course for “as long as it takes”, the costs are mounting at an incredible rate.
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