Democrats on defense as 2024 Senate map begins to take shape

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Democrats on defense as 2024 Senate map begins to take shape
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The 2024 Senate map is beginning to take shape, putting Democrats on the defensive as the party seeks to defend its slim majority in the upper chamber while facing reelection challenges in several reliably red states.

There are a total of 34 Senate seats up for grabs in the 2024 election cycle. Of these, Democrats must defend 23, compared to just 11 for Republicans. The circumstances put Republicans in a strong position to flip some crucial Senate seats that could easily shift the current balance of power in the upper chamber.Democrats currently hold a 51-49 majority in the Senate, with the advantage of having Vice President Kamala Harris as a tiebreaker vote if needed.

“As hard as it is, this does not mean there isn’t a path for Democrats to keep the majority, albeit a narrow one,” wrote Jessica Taylor, political analyst for the Cook Political Report. “They would likely need to win the presidency and essentially run the table on all of their races, affording to lose only one. They likely would also need a way to expand the map, forcing Republicans to spend money elsewhere to defend incumbents instead of on offense.

Those ratings put Sens. Joe Manchin and Sherrod Brown in tight positions, as the two Democratic incumbents will need to defend their seats in states that Trump won by 39 and 8 percentage points in 2020, respectively.

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