In 2024, 34 seats will be up for grabs, including 20 currently held by Democrats, 11 held by Republicans, and three currently held by Independents. Here are some of the key states that both parties will likely target.
Sinema's party switch gave Democrats jitters while they were still rejoicing Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock's runoff victory, but members are largely assured that her decision won't impact the party's ability to move legislation and approve judicial nominations. However, Sinema's election itself is another matter; she has not yet announced whether she will run for reelection in 2024. If she runs again, she'll set herself up for an epic clash with Rep.
his campaign for the Democratic nomination in January 2023 and at this early stage of the race is the most prominent candidate for the party.Both Sinema and Gallego could very well end up in a three-way race with a Republican candidate, potentially splitting Democratic-leaning voters and affording the GOP a much-desired win.
The aforementioned scenarios would not only complicate Sinema's standing in the Senate, but force Democrats to decide whether they will back her candidacy or get behind Gallego. Democrats have made major inroads in Arizona in recent years, and the party would like to keep the seat out of Republican hands.
Potential GOP candidates include 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake and 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters, who lost to Gov. Katie Hobbs and Sen. Mark Kelly, respectively. Jim Lamon, a former solar energy executive who ran for the party's nomination last year, has also been mentioned as a potential candidate.
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