Experts who are trying to build the perfect March Madness bracket are offering tips for choosing your own.
Some people are rooting for their home team or their alma maters, but for others, winning the bracket is what's important. Two statisticians weighed in on the best way to choose winners.
The odds of a perfect bracket are one in 120 billion, but Tauhid Zaman and Shawn Chao, both academics who graduated from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, even built a computer model that they say is getting closer to beating the odds. "Picking the teams that are going to win that are like the favorites, that will get you an okay bracket. But if you want to win, you gotta pick the upsets. That's the secret sauce," he said.
Zaman and Chao's predictive model uses published rankings as a baseline. Then, diversity parameters make sure that each bracket looks different from prior ones, to avoid repeats. It also adds"noise," injecting a certain amount of chaos into the bracket and making it more likely the model will account for surprising victories or shocking upsets.
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