Travis Kelce has already booked a Hall of Fame ticket. He's been the fantasy TE1 or TE2 in seven straight seasons. He's been a Top-10 player in Value Based Drafting rank in four of the past five years. The difference between 2022 Kelce and this year's TE2 (T.J. Hockenson) is basically the same as the gap between Hockenson and Robert Tonyan, the TE20.
Los Angeles, CA - November 20: Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the second quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022 in Los Angeles, CA. Travis Kelce has already booked a Hall of Fame ticket. He’s been the fantasy TE1 or TE2 in seven straight seasons. He’s been a Top-10 player in Value Based Drafting rank in four of the past five years.
, and I certainly won't draft him in the Top-6. He enters his age-34 season next year, and although it's entirely possible he'll continue to keep smashing, some of the recent tight end superstars have hit rough patches in the later stages of their careers. Tony Gonzalez was never a bad fantasy player, but he slipped to TE8 in his age-34 season. Rob Gronkowski was TE1 in 2017, then ran TE11, TE8, TE5 in his last three years.
Maybe the Chiefs will do a better job of stocking the wide-receiver room next year, cutting into Kelce’s production. Perhaps Kelce will have more physical obstacles in his age-34 year, after missing just two games in the last six seasons. It’s no fun to play actuary with one of the best talents we’ve seen in the past 20 years, but being pragmatic is a fantasy skill, too.
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