Houston's C.J. Stroud is a QB1 this week. Two quiet weeks followed by a bye may have dampened some of his hype, but Stroud’s three top-12 finishes have proven his fantasy relevance. The rookie enters Week 8 with the fifth-highest EPA per drop-back (0.07) — a number that should continue to climb.
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson runs the ball during the second half of an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Rams Sunday, Oct. 22, 2023, in Inglewood, Calif. Houston Texans wide receiver Robert Woods celebrates his touchdown reception with quarterback C.J. Stroud in the first half of an NFL football game against the New Orleans Saints in Houston, Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023.
— Joe Burrow doesn’t have a ton of upside in a road game with San Francisco, but it’s not that bad of a spot. The 49ers just let Kirk Cousins get 22 fantasy points, so I’m optimistic Burrow can produce after a week of rest. Burrow also looked better in his final two games before their bye, completing 74.1% of his passes, tossing five touchdowns, and scoring 39.2 fantasy points. While he’s only faced Kyle Shanahan once in his career, he didn’t disappoint.
— Sam Howell has to at least be mentioned, but certainly not because of his play last week. Howell is fresh off his second-worst fantasy performance of the season — a 10.5-point effort against the Giants in which he completed a season-low 52.4% of his passes. A home matchup with the Eagles is tough, but Howell had 290 yards and 19.6 fantasy points on the road at Philly just a month ago.
— Gus Edwards is back. Edwards had 20.9 half-PPR points in Week 7, ending a six-week stretch that had him score between 4.8 and 5.9 points five times. He received double-digit carries for the sixth consecutive game and out-rushed Justice Hill 14-4 overall and 3-1 in the red zone. Edwards and Hill still split snaps 28-27, but Edwards is clearly the Baltimore back you want to be aboard in fantasy.
— Darrell Henderson turned back the clock to 2021 last week. Just days after being promoted from LA’s practice squad, Henderson had 13.1 fantasy points on a 58.1% snap share. He wasn’t especially efficient , but any running back with volume in Sean McVay’s offense has a role on your fantasy team. The Cowboys present a tough matchup coming off a bye, but you could do worse than Darrell Henderson’s 15-plus touches.
— Kareem Hunt has scored 14.6 and 15.1 fantasy points over the past two weeks, finishing as the RB10 and RB11, respectively. He’s been a nonfactor in the passing game, but has shown some surprising efficiency out of the backfield . With Jerome Ford injured, Hunt could be looking at 15 to 20 opportunities per game over the next few weeks.
— Chris Godwin is dealing with a neck injury, but could play on Thursday after practicing in a limited fashion early this week. The Bills have allowed the sixth-most adjusted fantasy points per target to wideouts, and Godwin has had a 24.9% target share this season. That makes him a near must-start given the potential for positive touchdown regression .
— Drake London has had a 28.8% target share since Week 2, yet is averaging just 11.2 fantasy points per game over that span — thus is life in coach Arthur Smith’s offense. Still, he’s provided a solid floor of fantasy production and could be in store for his best outing of the season with the Titans on deck. Tennessee has allowed the fourth-most adjusted fantasy points per target , the fifth-highest target rate , and the fifth-highest catch rate to opposing wide receivers.
— Kendrick Bourne has played at least 85% of New England’s snaps four times this season, including each of the past three games. In those games, Bourne has had a 23.3% target share and a 35.3% red zone share en route to 13.6 fantasy points per game. As long as his playing time stays consistent, we can confidently slot Bourne into our FLEX spots, especially against a Dolphins defense that’s allowed a 70.4% catch rate and seven touchdowns to opposing wideouts.
— DeAndre Hopkins has eclipsed 8.5 fantasy points just twice this season and is facing a stout Atlanta secondary. What more do you need to hear to fade D-Hop this week?
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