From Korea to Cohen, Trump had a very bad week. But don't expect a sudden drop in his poll numbers

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From Korea to Cohen, Trump had a very bad week. But don't expect a sudden drop in his poll numbers
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A failed summit with North Korea and blistering testimony from Michael Cohen add up to another bad week for President Trump. Yet, as President Nixon's example shows, a president's standing seldom drops all at once.

What they don’t add up to is the kind of silver bullet that many Democratic voters keep wishing for — a single blow that would cause Trump’s support to suddenly collapse.Indeed, a defining characteristic of Trump’s public standing has been stability: Trump entered office as a historically unpopular president and has remained unpopular, but the support he does have has remained tenacious.

Even after the convictions and extensive press coverage of the widening scandal, Nixon’s public approval remained solid, says professorof Marquette University in Milwaukee, who directs the school’s widely respected polling operations and has extensively studied the survey data on Nixon. Franklin’s research highlights another key aspect of Nixon’s standing: After that initial decline, his approval ratings stayed fairly stable. Dramatic events, including the firing of special prosecutor Archibald Cox and the resignation of Atty. Gen. Elliot Richardson — the so-called Saturday Night Massacre — in October 1973 did not cause significant change.

The lesson from that history is that public opinion about presidents generally doesn’t shift suddenly, Franklin says.

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