Climate change is making major league sluggers into even hotter hitters, sending an extra 50 or so home runs a year over the fences, according to a new study.
consulted with Major League Baseball
Both Nathan and the Dartmouth team found a 1% increase in home run likelihood with every degree the air warms . Total yearly average of warming-aided homers is only 1% of all home runs hit, the Dartmouth researchers calculated. The Dartmouth team found the climate homer effect varied by field, too. Chicago's Wrigley Field, which still hosts a lot of day games, has the most warming-homer friendly confines. The statistical analysis found no significant heat-aided homers at Tampa's Tropicana Field, the only full-time domed stadium in Major League Baseball.
"Obviously I'm not a fan in any way as a pitcher," Suter said with a laugh. "Five hundred seems a lot, but I could believe it." Mankin called what's happening "a fingerprint of climate change on our recreation." Callahan said what's been seen so far is nothing compared to projections of hundreds of extra homers in the future.
Several climate scientists told The Associated Press that the study makes perfect sense and the statistics are analyzed properly, though they also point out factors other than climate change are in play and likely have bigger effects.
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Going, going, gone: Study says climate change juicing homersA new study finds that climate change is making major league sluggers into even hotter hitters, sending an extra 50 or so home runs a year over the fences. A study published Friday by Dartmouth College scientists did a statistical analysis of more than 200,000 balls put into play in the last few years. They say climate change added about 1% to the homer totals. The answer is physics — warmer air is thinner, and that's less resistance on a batted ball. Climate change's effect is not nearly as much as other factors, but the scientists say it will likely grow as climate change progresses.
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