Running as an electable alternative to Trump is proving more effective than running as a less entertaining version of Trump.
. More importantly, the trend lines show DeSantis down 3 points and Haley up 10 points since August. What is more, Haley has already surpassed DeSantis inwho never liked Trump and former Trumpers who are ready to move on, DeSantis chose to ignore the former and focus on attractingvery online, right-wing, intellectual faction
Conversely, after years of similarly oscillating between criticism and throne sniffing, Haley actually chose a lane once the campaign began in earnest.Haley seemed as unlikely to catch fire as Mike Pence You may be asking yourself why any of this even matters. Even if Haley secured 100 percent of the non-Trump votes in the 2024 GOP primary, according to polling, she would1. Trump dies or is otherwise incapacitated.
2. Trump goes to jail or some new revelation serves as a tipping point where his spell over the GOP is finally broken.puts it, “If she is able to pull off upsets in the first two states, Trump will be hobbled and she’ll have a real chance to administer the killing blow in South Carolina.”Sure, the smart money is still on Trump winning the Republican nomination.
The final ingredient is exogenous. You can’t plan for it. You just have to be in the right place at the right time.be up to the task of supplanting Trump. It’s a long shot, but at least she has one. And the first step is second place.
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