The story of how Hurricane Ian surprised so many Floridians is about far more than disagreeing computer models. It involves how we each perceive and process risk information about novel threats, as well as understand the storm graphics on TV and online.
Hurricane Ian was a nightmare of a storm to forecast, and experts say the tools meteorologists used to assess and communicate its likely path were part of the problem.With the death toll mounting, meteorologists, emergency managers and others are asking how they could have done a better job making clear the storm wouldThe story of how Ian surprised so many Floridians with its southerly shift is about far more than a computer model inferiority complex.
Computer models used to help predict the weather were at war with one another until about 36 hours before landfall, an unusually short window of time to convince coastal residents to evacuate.
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