If President Trump wants to find some grounds for hope in the face of poor polling, reasonable arguments are available.The partisan skew of recent boat parades, however, is not one of them. jonathanchait writes
Photo: Marty Lederhandler/AP/Shuttersto/Marty Lederhandler/AP/Shuttersto In 2012, Republicans dismissed unfavorable opinion surveys by “unskewing the polls,” a tendentious exercise in concocting an alternative universe in which Mitt Romney was defeating Barack Obama. The skewing movement attracted enough party elites that Mitt Romney’s campaign genuinely expected to win, and Karl Rove threw a memorable on-air tantrum after Fox News called Ohio for Obama.
“The polling is fake …” Trump insisted yesterday. “We have a silent majority the likes of which nobody has seen. I just look – there are thousands of boats in lakes, rivers, & oceans, thousands and thousands of boats … it’s called ‘Boaters for Trump’.” Speaking to Fox & Friends today, the president again brought up the vessels as a superior measure of his support than polls. “I see much more spirit … The boats, just thousands of boats, and that’s all over the country.
The far greater flaw in the boat-parade theory is that, despite whatever preexisting political preferences boaters might have had, Trump has deliberately influenced and inflated the numbers. In May, the president began touting a video clip showing a handful of pro-Trump boaters:
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