Trump’s demonization of voting by mail has convinced his fans to vote in person, which could skew the early returns and lead to Trump contesting the results if he loses
If Trump’s older white base mostly votes in person, it may help him build an early lead. Photo: Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/AFP via Getty Images For months now, I and other observers have suggested that the president’s demonization of voting by mail wasn’t just aimed at securing restrictions in the practice by the states. He also wants his own supporters to vote in person.
If these numbers are even close to reality, since in-person votes are generally counted before mail ballots, Trump will be in a position to take an early lead nationally and in most battleground states. Any appearance of a pro-Biden trend later, or for that matter any logjam or other problems with counting mail ballots, will undoubtedly be touted by Team Trump as evidence of fraud.
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