Infectious-disease experts think Washington state’s slow reopening will mean fewer cases. More from FiveThirtyEight's weekly survey of experts:
in Pennsylvania, and the current death toll stands at 3,943. The experts were asked to forecast the total number of deaths in the state on June 13. The consensus projection was 7,239 dead, with an 80 percent chance that the actual number will fall between 5,249 and 10,472.
The experts were asked to forecast the average new cases per day in Washington for the first week of June. Their consensus estimate of 332 is in line with case counts near the peak of the outbreak in, with an 80 percent chance that the actual daily average will fall between 158 and 644 cases.
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