Inflationary recession to exacerbate central banks’ problems – Natixis Inflation Growth CentralBanks Banks Commodities
of commodities and supply problems, it will not push down inflation, on the contrary, as it will be accompanied by a sharp rise in commodity prices. Central banks would then face their worst-case scenario: a recession linked to very high inflation, economists at Natixis report.“Because the household savings rate is falling, which, in the, is linked above all to household credit growth, and given high corporate profit margins, a recession due to a fall in consumption or investment is unlikely.
, insufficient production capacity in transport and semiconductors. This scarcity-induced recession would then be accompanied by high inflation, not disinflation, which would be a worst-case scenario for central banks: recession and high inflation.” Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties.
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