Joe Biden’s lead in the polling averages is pretty steady, but a new CNN national survey shows Biden leading Trump by a relatively narrow four-point margin
Photo-Illustration: Megan Paetzhold. Photos: Getty Images On the first day of the 2020 Democratic National Convention, such as it is, Joe Biden continues to enjoy a national lead over Donald Trump in every published poll. In the RealClearPolitics database, you have to go back to an Emerson poll in February to find a survey in which Trump actually led.
But if Biden’s lead in the polling averages is pretty steady, Trump can point to one recent high-quality poll in which he’s made some pretty big gains: A new CNN national survey shows him trailing Biden by a relatively narrow four-point margin , which actually matches the poll’s margin of error.
The measurement of Trump’s popularity that may be more reliable than horse-race polls continues to oscillate slowly within a narrow band: his job approval rating. It’s currently at 43.1 percent at RCP and 42.2 percent at FiveThirtyEight . His ratings are a couple of points higher than a month ago, but still several points below his late-March, early April, and early pandemic highs.
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