OPINION: 'It is well known that the U.S. has been working with both sides to explore and advance such a deal. That fact alone raises bigger questions: Why? Who will benefit? Who can we trust?' writes djrothkopf
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends the weekly cabinet meeting in the prime minister's office in Jerusalem, Israel on July 30, 2023.One reason given for the push to get a deal, according to thearticle, is that “the Biden administration is trying to secure assurances from Saudi Arabia that it will distance itself—economically and militarily—from China.”
Candidly, and I say this as one who is broadly supportive of the Biden administration’s foreign policy , I don’t understand the push to achieve this deal. It would be fragile, at best, and a formula for failure, at worst. It depends too much on hugely undependable people and countries. The benefits to the U.S. would likely be less than meets the eye following whatever the hoopla involved with the deal signing was.
Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel Martin Indyk has some ideas. He begins by describing a dilemma facing President Biden. He says, “If does the deal with Bibi’s current coalition he gives a turbo boost to the ultra-nationalists who want to curb the judiciary AND annex the West Bank. But if he turns his back on the opportunity to make peace between Saudi Arabia and Israel, when MBS is saying that he’s ready , then he looks like he’s not interested in Middle East peace .
He concludes, soundly in my view, “To predicate your policy on a change in government in Israel and an unreliable Saudi partner who has told Biden and Bibi that he doesn’t care about the Palestinians is a complicated maneuver that’s more likely to fail than succeed. And that’s before you get to the nuclear deal and the NATO-like Article 5 security guarantee that MBS is insisting upon.”
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