It's 2024 and the Tories have been voted out – now what happens? ✒️ wallaceme for ipaperviews
David Steel’s 1981 message to the Liberal Party conference – “Go back to your constituencies and prepare for Government” – has gone down in history as a moment of staggering political hubris. Neil Kinnock’s introduction as “the next prime minister” at the ill-fated Sheffield rally a few days before the 1992 general election suffered from a similar sense of overconfidence.
Planning for the opposite – for the loss of power – is less attractive, for the obvious reason that it’s much less fun. And yet it’s just as important for political parties to do. For those in opposition, it can accelerate their return to competitiveness and thereby their prospects of getting back into office, too. Being prepared against a result you do not want also helps to stabilise a party or movement against unforeseen consequences of a shock defeat.
. They weren’t prepared for the potential loss of frontbench talent, they hadn’t got a handle on how best to analyse what had gone wrong, still less a strategy to get back on the front foot, they didn’t have a hinterland beyond their own party to fall back on, and they were on the cusp of bankruptcy, having thrown everything at a doomed election.
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