The changing balance of power in America after the midterms—especially the unease about how much aid to give Ukraine—may affect his foreign policy
20 gathering in Bali, as well as various bilateral sessions. Mr Biden said he would discuss his “red lines” with Mr Xi, especially over Taiwan. He will also want to keep rallying the world against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. On the minds of fellow leaders will be how the changing balance of power in America after the midterms—especially the unease among Republicans and Democrats alike about how much aid to give Ukraine—will affect Mr Biden’s foreign policy.
The most pressing question is the continuation of America’s military and economic support to help Ukraine fight off Russia’s eight-month-old invasion, for which Mr Biden has so far committed $18bn in security assistance, and more when economic aid is counted. On November 11th Ukrainian troopsBut tensions are emerging within the administration over whether and when to seek.
Whereas Mr McCarthy is liable to bend to Mr Trump’s desires, Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader in the Senate, is committed to helping Ukraine. Some Republican staffers think more weapons would flow to Ukraine, and faster, if Republicans controlled Congress. But with a divided legislature there is also a risk of the budget process grinding to a halt, notes Dustin Walker of the American Enterprise Institute, another think-tank.
Some consensus is also likely to endure over America’s growing rivalry with China. Eric Sayers, managing director of Beacon Global Strategies, a consulting firm, says Republicans are likely to set up a select committee to co-ordinate oversight over the many facets of America’s ever more contentious dealings with China. He also predicts there will be further bipartisan measures to restrict trade and investment with China.
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