Local election results could point to a comfortable majority for the Labour leader in the upcoming general election.
At every local election, the experts crunch the numbers and come up with a projected national share to help map the results onto what they might mean in a general election.
Those views are some way from the narrative that Starmer needs a 12.5% swing to secure a majority of just one. Early on in Starmer's leadership it was decided that the most urgent target for the party was to reach out to its old base: those who disproportionately voted leave in the 2016 EU referendum.
Party strategists would describe this as expanding the vote - rather than pivoting - but in reality, polls do suggest that Labour may be losing some of the more liberal, remain voters piled up in more urban seats and
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