Los Angeles County reported 1,355 new Covid cases on Friday, continuing an upward trend that began about a week ago as the more-infectious BA.2 subvariant continues to spread. Last week, the 7-day …
Last week, the 7-day average daily number of new cases in the county was 878. By yesterday, the county was averaging more than 1,000 new Covid cases per day.
The rising case numbers haven’t yet translated to a spike in hospitalizations and deaths, which is something optimists continue to point at as the region tries to get back to normal after the winter Omicron wave. The number of Covid-positive hospital patients in Los Angeles County actually sank today, and it’s been trending that way.
The BA.2 subvariant, a more infectious offshoot of the Omicron variant that caused a winter surge in cases, is now the dominant strain of the virus in the county, according to public health officials. The latest data has it accounting for 67% of new infections, but that data is over two weeks old, so the variant likely makes up a much greater percentage of new cases by now.
Throughout the pandemic, jumps in hospitalizations have generally followed increases in daily cases by about 2 weeks. Part of BA.2’s increased ability to infect people is thought to be a shorter incubation period, which means hospitalizations have been rising sooner, from between 10-14 days. So given that case numbers only began to rise in earnest in the past week, any resultant rise in hospitalizations would likely show up at the end of next week, or in the final week of April.
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