WNBA predictions, picks, and odds for the Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun on September 13. WNBA betting best bet and game analysis.
There’s a clear sense that the Sun will waste no time taking control of this series, with Connecticut entering as a nine-point favorite. The hosts won three of the four matchups against Minnesota this year — two of those wins were by a double-digit margin — and they’re 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on two days’ rest.
That feels ominous for the visitors, who’ve been a steady road team but wrapped up the regular season with a pair of losses, including a dismal defeat to the Fever that dumped Minnesota into this tough first-round series. The Lynx are going to need monster games from McBride and Napheesa Collier to keep the score close.
An Over/Under line of 159.5 reflects the intensity of postseason action. Two of the four regular season battles between these teams comfortably hit the Over, but it’s fair to expect a slower pace and more defensive physicality here in Game 1. Even so, the trends point to the Over, which is 5-1 in Connecticut’s last six games against Western Conference opponents and 7-2 in Minnesota’s past nine outings. It’s also 6-2 in the teams’ last eight meetings.
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