A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Although split early on Tuesday about the size of the next rate hike this month, futures market now assumes an 80% chance the Fed will return to half-point rate rises and bring its policy rate target range to 5.0-5.25% later in March.
Two-year 'breakeven' inflation expectations in the bond market fell back below 3% following a jump of a full percentage point in just six weeks. With many analysts concerned that overseas central banks may not want or be able to keep pace with another leg higher in Fed rates - as so often in previous tightening cycles - the dollar was one of the biggest winners from Powell's jolt.
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