Nature’s Gamble: Why Do Some Environmental Shocks Lead to Disaster While Others Don’t?

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Nature’s Gamble: Why Do Some Environmental Shocks Lead to Disaster While Others Don’t?
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Science, Space and Technology News 2023

The discussion around climate change has shifted from merely attempting to halt it to figuring out how we can coexist with its impacts. According to a recent study published in theCurrently, we are grappling with a global crisis convergence. Various types of threats intersect, intertwine, and test our collective resilience, from climate change and economic inequality to political polarization.

Daniel Hoyer remarks, “What we observe is that not every ecological shock or climatic anomaly leads to collapse or even a severe crisis, and not every crisis involves a major environmental stressor.” But what makes the difference? What drives collapse versus positive change?To illustrate the divergent dynamics experienced by past societies, and to highlight the comprehensiveness of their data, the researchers provide three examples.

On the opposite end of the spectrum, the immensely wealthy Qing Dynasty in China proved resilient to adverse ecological conditions – recurrent floods, droughts, swarms of locusts – during the early part of their reign, but by the 19century, social pressures had built up leaving them more vulnerable to these same challenges.

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