Researchers looked at the excess deaths during both outbreaks.
In a Research Letter published in JAMA, Faust and colleagues calculated the levels of excess mortality in New York City between March 11 and May 11. They also looked at the number of Spanish Flu deaths in New York. To do this they looked at mortality rates for a 61 day period between October and November from 1914 to 1918.
For COVID-19 in New York City, they found 33,465 deaths of any cause occurred during the study period, from a population of 8.28 million people, giving an incident rate of 202.08 deaths per 100,000. This is 4.15 times higher than the same period in the three years prior. "However, because baseline mortality rates from 2017 to 2019 were less than half that observed from 1914 to 1917 , the relative increase during early COVID-19 period was substantially greater than during the peak of the 1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic."
Data from the CDC shows that while daily cases are starting to fall, there are still tens of thousands of people being diagnosed with the virus. On Monday, over 40,000 new cases were recorded.
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