Our NFL betting experts offer their best tips and picks for Week 4's Sunday slate of game.
Miami at Buffalo . The Dolphins are coming off of a 50-point victory over Denver and the Bills have outscored opponents 75-13 during the past two weeks. Wow! Who are you taking in this huge early-season AFC East matchup?The second annual ESPN+ exclusive NFL game kicks off the NFL's International Series at Wembley Stadium in London. Stream the game Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET on ESPN+Miami has the most explosive offense in the league, ranking first in total yards and points.
leads the league in that department, but the Bills' defensive front ranks third in pass rush win rate. Buffalo will cover the spread here in what Vegas expects to be a close game.This is a hard game to handicap. I don't have a strong conviction on the side as I think either team could win the game. In that case, sometimes I think it's just a wise bet to take the ML underdog. In this case, it's far from uncomfortable to back the Dolphins given what they've shown this season.
The Dolphins moved from 12-1 to 8-1 to win the Super Bowl, giving them the fourth-shortest odds . They were 25-1 entering the season. At 8-1, is Miami still a good value bet to win the Super Bowl?We make Miami's chances to win it all a whopping 29% -- but I would caution on that number. The model does tend to be a bit jumpy early in the season and it falls fast for teams. That being said, the Dolphins were my preseason Super Bowl pick so, yeah, I'm pretty far in.
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