Vladimir Putin loves to needle and upstage America, but he is not about to bail out the failed North Korean state
year since a nuclear-armed Kim Jong Un set off on a diplomatic dance drawing in the leaders of China, South Korea, the United States and now Russia. The flamboyant approach has turned the family dictatorship’s decades of dour reclusiveness on their head and done much for the North Korean leader’s standing at home and abroad. Korea-watchers say it has increased Mr Kim’s room for manoeuvre and so, by extension, his odds of survival. What a brilliant young despot.
But as full as Mr Kim’s dance card has been, the only flirtation that matters is with Mr Trump. Only America presents a serious military threat, and can unlocksanctions imposed in response to North Korea’s drive to develop nuclear bombs and long-range missiles. Yet the summit in Hanoi ended in failure. It seems Mr Kim overplayed his hand, expecting Mr Trump to be eager for a deal that would see at least some sanctions eased in exchange for an incomplete dismantling of his nuclear programme.
Where Mr Kim has real agency is in his dealings with Mr Moon, whose efforts brought Mr Kim and Mr Trump together. Yet he is blowing it. In South Korea the anniversary of the Panmunjom summit was celebrated with international musicians and a video message from the Pope. Conspicuously absent was any North Korean representation.
It is a return to shrill North Korean form. The South is being blamed for not doing more to keep America dancing. Abusing Mr Moon is surely foolish, says Aidan Foster-Carter, a longtime Korea-watcher. Mr Moon is keen to keep rapprochement going, but is struggling to bring South Koreans along with him. They backed the detente last year. But many have since lost faith in North Korean promises, and interest in reunification. The approval ratings of hawkish conservatives have soared.
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